27 Sept · 09:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RV
🇨🇿Richard Vavricka
ELO 1487
FormWLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Flesar
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1501
FormWWWLW
49%
51%
🌟Vavricka covers set handicap as underdog 67% (33)
Fair odds · Flesar
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H7-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.