27 Sept · 13:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1501
FormLWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Dzida
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1565
FormWLWWL
45%
55%
🌟Pawlik covers set handicap as underdog 63% (86)
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H2-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)