27 Sept · 14:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AV
🇨🇿Anton Veliiev
ELO 1637
FormLWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Veliiev
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1605
FormWWWLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Veliiev
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.