27 Sept · 08:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1460
FormLWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Fiklik
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1551
FormLWWLW
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Langer🌟Fiklik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (184)
Fair odds · Fiklik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+91
H2H23-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-14)