27 Sept · 14:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1542
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Precek
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1501
FormLWLLL
53%
47%
🌟Pawlik covers set handicap as underdog 63% (86)
Fair odds · Precek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H10-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.