27 Sept · 14:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RV
🇨🇿Richard Vavricka
ELO 1487
FormWLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Vavricka
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1389
FormWLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Vavricka
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+98
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)