27 Sept · 12:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1550
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jr
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1542
FormWWLWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H15-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.