27 Sept · 09:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Skalicky
ELO 1577
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Skalicky
DS
🇨🇿David Stusek
ELO 1562
FormLWWLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stusek🌟Stusek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (23)
Fair odds · Skalicky
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.