27 Sept · 12:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1460
FormLWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Chmelicek
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1389
FormWLLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Chmelicek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H14-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-12)