27 Sept · 12:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1599
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Veliiev
AV
🇨🇿Anton Veliiev
ELO 1637
FormLWLLL
47%
53%
🌟Krupnik covers set handicap as underdog 67% (100)
Fair odds · Veliiev
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.