27 Sept · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ZZ
🇨🇿Zdenek Zahradka
ELO 1411
FormLWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kral
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kral
ELO 1499
FormLLWWW
43%
57%
🌟Kral goes over total as favourite 74% (88)
Fair odds · Kral
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H63-79
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)