27 Sept · 13:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1389
FormWLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Motacek
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Motacek
ELO 1506
FormWWWWL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Motacek
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
19%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+117
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)