27 Sept · 10:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jonas Kulveit
ELO 1470
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kulveit
RJ
🇨🇿Robert Jamrich
ELO 1416
FormWWLWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Kulveit
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H13-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.