27 Sept · 10:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1561
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kulisek
OF
🇨🇿Ondrej Fiklik
ELO 1551
FormLWWLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kulisek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H107-119
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.