27 Sept · 12:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1607
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Veliiev
AV
🇨🇿Anton Veliiev
ELO 1637
FormLWLLL
48%
52%
🌟Chaloupka covers set handicap as underdog 62% (87)
Fair odds · Veliiev
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H4-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.