27 Sept · 10:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Peter Chvojka
ELO 1497
FormLWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Chvojka
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sobota
ELO 1406
FormLLLWL
57%
43%
🌟Chvojka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (57)
Fair odds · Chvojka
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+91
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)