27 Sept · 14:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OH
🇨🇿Ondrej Hula
ELO 1502
FormWLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zeman
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1515
FormWLWLL
49%
51%
🌟Hula goes over total as underdog 78% (23)
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.