27 Sept · 11:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KL
🇨🇿Krystof Lahodny
ELO 1520
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Lovl
JL
🇨🇿Jan Lovl
ELO 1589
FormWLWWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Lovl
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 46% · 2.15· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+69
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)