27 Sept · 17:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1604
FormWWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Chaloupka
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1607
FormWLLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H12-25
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.