27 Sept · 16:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1607
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Chaloupka
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1552
FormLWLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+55)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)