27 Sept · 16:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1604
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Skvrna
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1552
FormLWLLW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (162)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H19-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.