27 Sept · 18:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1499
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Cizek
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1503
FormLWWWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Cizek🌟Cizek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (65)
Fair odds · Cizek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+4
H2H9-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.