27 Sept · 18:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1396
FormLLLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Muller
RM
🇨🇿Radek Muller
ELO 1489
FormWLLWW
42%
58%
🌟Muller rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (57)
Fair odds · Muller
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+93
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)