27 Sept · 20:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1557
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Molin
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1461
FormLLWLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Molin
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+96
H2H15-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-6)