27 Sept · 16:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LD
🇨🇿Lukas Dzida
ELO 1572
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Dzida
JV
🇨🇿Jakub Volny
ELO 1499
FormLLLLL
56%
44%
🌟Volny covers set handicap as underdog 63% (54)
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)