27 Sept · 17:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1478
FormWLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Dohnal
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1396
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Dohnal rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (156)
Fair odds · Dohnal
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+82
H2H27-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-11)