27 Sept · 15:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1557
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Molin
AC
🇨🇿Ales Cizek
ELO 1503
FormLWWWW
54%
46%
🌟Cizek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (109)
Fair odds · Molin
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H3-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.