27 Sept · 18:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fnukal
ELO 1548
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Fnukal
PZ
🇨🇿Petr Zivny
ELO 1503
FormLLLLL
54%
46%
🌟Fnukal goes over total as favourite 78% (23)
Fair odds · Fnukal
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.25· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.