27 Sept · 21:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DB
🇨🇿Daniel Branny
ELO 1522
FormWLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Molin
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1557
FormWWWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Molin
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H10-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.