27 Sept · 17:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RM
🇨🇿Radek Muller
ELO 1489
FormWLLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Sebl
JS
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1593
FormLWWLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Sebl
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H23-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)