27 Sept · 22:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇨🇿Stanislav Kafka
ELO 1598
FormWWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kafka
PZ
🇨🇿Petr Zivny
ELO 1503
FormLLLLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Kafka
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+95
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)