27 Sept · 22:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1461
FormLLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Reska
OS
🇨🇿Ondrej Skvor
ELO 1460
FormLWWWL
50%
50%
🌟Skvor covers set handicap as underdog 67% (49)
Fair odds · Reska
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.