27 Sept · 21:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kosacky
ELO 1615
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kosacky
MK
🇨🇿Marek Kulisek
ELO 1556
FormWLWLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Kosacky
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H80-52
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (80-52)