27 Sept · 21:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1485
FormLWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jr
JO
🇨🇿Jan Oleksik
ELO 1484
FormLWWWL
50%
50%
🌟Oleksik covers set handicap as underdog 75% (16)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H9-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.