27 Sept · 21:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JL
🇨🇿Jakub Lysek
ELO 1410
FormWWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Oleksik
JO
🇨🇿Jan Oleksik
ELO 1484
FormLWWWL
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Lysek🌟Oleksik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 13% (15)
Fair odds · Oleksik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)