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27 Sep · 17:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JDJaroslav Dohnal
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1512
3-0Final setsDohnal won
JSJachym Sebl
🇨🇿Jachym Sebl
ELO 1583
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sebl at 58%. The actual result was Jaroslav Dohnal 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jachym Sebl favoured — closing 1.61
Upset
Total 76.5
52 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jachym Sebl −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jachym Sebl −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 2.8
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
6.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslav Dohnal is favoured to win, below means Jachym Sebl.

▲ Jaroslav Dohnalpre 45% → final 88%
Jachym Sebl ▼
Biggest swing 51 ptsDohnal recovered from 37%72 points · 4 games