28 Sept · 09:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OC
🇨🇿Ondrej Coufal
ELO 1467
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Chlad
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1497
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
🌟Coufal stays under total as underdog 64% (14)
Fair odds · Chlad
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~72 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.