28 Sept · 09:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LR
🇨🇿Lukas Dominik Rek
ELO 1548
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Rek
ZM
🇨🇿Zdenek Muhlhauser
ELO 1524
FormWLWLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Rek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H3-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.