28 Sept · 09:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JH
🇨🇿Jakub Hitzger
ELO 1681
FormLLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Hitzger
MM
🇨🇿Martin Mastera
ELO 1587
FormLWLLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Hitzger
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+94
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)