28 Sept · 11:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PV
🇨🇿Pavel Vinansky
ELO 1613
FormWLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vinansky
LL
🇨🇿Laurent Lasota
ELO 1526
FormLLWLW
57%
43%
🌟Lasota covers set handicap as underdog 69% (52)
Fair odds · Vinansky
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)