28 Sept · 09:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1602
FormWLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Krenek
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1528
FormLWWWL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sedlacek🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 69% (49)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H14-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-13)