28 Sept · 09:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1465
FormLWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sedlacek
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1528
FormLWWWL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Raska🌟Raska covers set handicap as underdog 64% (76)
Fair odds · Sedlacek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)