28 Sept · 12:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Sochor
ELO 1506
FormWLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Rek
AR
🇨🇿Adam Martin Rek
ELO 1594
FormWWLLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Rek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H31-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-24)