28 Sept · 09:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PC
🇨🇿Peter Chvojka
ELO 1497
FormWWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Chvojka
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1497
FormWWWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chlad🌟Chvojka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (59)
Fair odds · Chvojka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+0
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.