28 Sept · 09:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Cerveny Jr
ELO 1522
FormLWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Muhlhauser
ZM
🇨🇿Zdenek Muhlhauser
ELO 1524
FormWLWLL
50%
50%
🌟Muhlhauser rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (47)
Fair odds · Muhlhauser
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.