28 Sept · 07:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1602
FormWLLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Krenek
MR
🇨🇿Michal Raska
ELO 1465
FormLWLLL
61%
39%
🔥 Underdog lean · Raska🌟Krenek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (120)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+137
H2H8-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+137)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-6)