28 Sept · 08:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1528
FormLWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sedlacek
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1439
FormLWLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Sedlacek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)