28 Sept · 16:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1550
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Neterda
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Motacek
ELO 1492
FormLWLLW
55%
45%
🌟Motacek covers set handicap as underdog 64% (25)
Fair odds · Neterda
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)