28 Sept · 15:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1588
FormWWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kleprlik
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1489
FormLWLLL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pawlik🌟Kleprlik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (52)
Fair odds · Kleprlik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+99
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)