28 Sept · 16:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kleprlik
ELO 1588
FormWWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kleprlik
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1516
FormWLWLL
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kanak🌟Kanak covers set handicap as underdog 76% (58)
Fair odds · Kleprlik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)